Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.003990 0.004189 0.004394 0.004619 0.004861 0.005114 0.005397
2025-10-26 0.003630 0.003923 0.004236 0.004596 0.005001 0.005444 0.005967
2025-11-02 0.003393 0.003737 0.004115 0.004563 0.005083 0.005671 0.006391
2025-11-09 0.003278 0.003668 0.004107 0.004640 0.005275 0.006015 0.006953
2025-11-16 0.003122 0.003538 0.004014 0.004604 0.005322 0.006181 0.007300
2025-11-23 0.003005 0.003444 0.003954 0.004597 0.005397 0.006374 0.007682
2025-11-30 0.002873 0.003323 0.003852 0.004531 0.005390 0.006461 0.007927
2025-12-07 0.002760 0.003219 0.003767 0.004477 0.005392 0.006553 0.008178
2025-12-14 0.002680 0.003152 0.003721 0.004470 0.005449 0.006715 0.008525
2025-12-21 0.002551 0.003018 0.003585 0.004341 0.005340 0.006650 0.008555
2025-12-28 0.002495 0.002973 0.003561 0.004352 0.005415 0.006832 0.008935
2026-01-04 0.002460 0.002952 0.003565 0.004400 0.005538 0.007083 0.009428
2026-01-11 0.002393 0.002889 0.003513 0.004372 0.005558 0.007193 0.009723
2026-01-18 0.002332 0.002833 0.003468 0.004351 0.005586 0.007315 0.010042
2026-01-25 0.002272 0.002775 0.003417 0.004320 0.005598 0.007412 0.010327
2026-02-01 0.002255 0.002773 0.003440 0.004391 0.005756 0.007728 0.010971
2026-02-08 0.002199 0.002718 0.003391 0.004357 0.005761 0.007816 0.011255
2026-02-15 0.002157 0.002679 0.003362 0.004351 0.005804 0.007962 0.011641
2026-02-22 0.002097 0.002615 0.003296 0.004290 0.005764 0.007977 0.011807
2026-03-01 0.002044 0.002558 0.003240 0.004241 0.005738 0.008012 0.012007
2026-03-08 0.002008 0.002525 0.003213 0.004233 0.005775 0.008147 0.012388
2026-03-15 0.001936 0.002439 0.003112 0.004114 0.005636 0.007994 0.012250
2026-03-22 0.001910 0.002417 0.003100 0.004124 0.005697 0.008167 0.012706